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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 7

Denver Broncos vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Breece Hall Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+142/-195).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +151 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +142.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 9th-most run-heavy offense in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 45.5% red zone run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New York Jets have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 62.2 plays per game.
  • The Denver Broncos defensive ends rank as the worst unit in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.
  • The New York Jets have gone up against a stacked the box on just 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing offenses have run for the 6th-least TDs in the NFL (0.50 per game) against the Denver Broncos defense this year.

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