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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Tennessee Titans vs New York Jets

Breece Hall Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-184/+140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -152 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the New York Jets as the 10th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 59.7% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

New York's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially too low (and rushing stats inflated) on account of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the league. We should be able to expect some correction with better weather in this game.

The leading projections forecast Breece Hall to garner 5.7 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 98th percentile among running backs.

Breece Hall has been a key part of his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 16.9% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 98th percentile when it comes to running backs.

With a fantastic 4.5 adjusted catches per game (99th percentile) last year, Breece Hall has been as one of the top pass-catching running backs in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is implied by the Jets being a 4-point favorite this week.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The New York O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.

Since the start of last season, the strong Titans defense has given up a feeble 73.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 2nd-lowest rate in the NFL.

The Titans safeties grade out as the 6th-best unit in the league since the start of last season in defending receivers.

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