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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

New York Jets vs Los Angeles Rams

Breece Hall Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-180/+140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jets are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the New York Jets as the 5th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 61.9% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see 133.4 total plays called: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.

Breece Hall has gone out for more passes this season (61.4% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (47.8%).

The model projects Breece Hall to total 4.3 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 90th percentile among running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 7th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Jets this year (a mere 55.6 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to rely on the passing game too much against the Los Angeles Rams, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 32.5 per game) this year.

Breece Hall's possession skills have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 85.1% to 76.5%.

As it relates to defensive ends rushing the passer, Los Angeles's unit has been tremendous this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the league.

More Breece Hall Player Props

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