My Account Log Out

reorder

Breece Hall

Breece Hall Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New York Jets

Breece Hall Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the New York Jets to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 63.6% pass rate.

Opposing teams have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the league.

Our trusted projections expect Breece Hall to accrue 3.8 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 87th percentile among RBs.

In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the New York Jets profiles as the 5th-best in the league this year.

The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has allowed the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (86.4%) versus running backs this year (86.4%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Jets are favored in this game, suggesting more of a focus on running than their typical game plan.

The 10th-fewest plays in football have been called by the New York Jets this year (a lowly 56.1 per game on average).

The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

More Breece Hall Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™