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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

New York Jets vs Indianapolis Colts

Breece Hall Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-170/+140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -165 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Jets to be the 7th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 59.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to have 130.0 total plays run: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.

Breece Hall has been more involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (63.5% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (47.8%).

This week, Breece Hall is anticipated by the projections to finish in the 94th percentile among running backs with 5.3 targets.

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the New York Jets profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Jets, who are favored by 4.5 points.

The 10th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the New York Jets this year (just 56.2 per game on average).

Breece Hall's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 85.1% to 75.6%.

The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has surrendered the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (80.9%) vs. running backs this year (80.9%).

More Breece Hall Player Props

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