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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Arizona Cardinals vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Breece Hall Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -155.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the New York Jets to pass on 61.0% of their plays: the 4th-highest clip among all teams this week.
  • The New York Jets offense has played at the 10th-quickest pace in the league (in a neutral context) this year, averaging 28.51 seconds per play.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being called for in this game) typically lead to better passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and lower rush volume.
  • Breece Hall has been more involved as a potential target this season (63.5% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (47.8%).
  • The model projects Breece Hall to garner 5.5 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 95th percentile when it comes to RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Breece Hall's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 85.1% to 73.3%.

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