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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

Breece Hall Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-108/-127).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +112 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jets will be forced to use backup quarterback Trevor Siemian this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

The predictive model expects Breece Hall to notch 6.7 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile among running backs.

The leading projections forecast Breece Hall to be a more integral piece of his offense's passing game in this week's game (22.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (16.7% in games he has played).

Breece Hall's 4.7 adjusted receptions per game this year indicates a material boost in his receiving proficiency over last year's 2.7 mark.

Breece Hall's 84.9% Adjusted Catch Rate this year shows a material progression in his receiving talent over last year's 63.9% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Jets to pass on 60.7% of their opportunities: the 7th-highest rate on the slate this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Jets to call the 2nd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

As it relates to protecting the passer (and the significance it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Jets profiles as the 2nd-worst in football this year.

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