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Breece Hall Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+125/-155).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Jets may throw the ball less in this contest (and call more carries) as a result of being be forced to start backup quarterback Trevor Siemian.This week's line implies an extreme throwing game script for the Jets, who are huge -7-point underdogs.Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New York Jets to pass on 61.3% of their plays: the 7th-greatest rate among all teams this week.Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Jets are predicted by the projection model to call 66.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 2nd-highest number among all teams this week.The predictive model expects Breece Hall to garner 7.5 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 99th percentile among running backs.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Opposing offenses teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Browns, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 32.3 per game) this year.In regards to protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Jets profiles as the 2nd-worst in football this year.This year, the strong Browns defense has allowed a meager 75.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the 5th-smallest rate in the NFL.When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Cleveland's unit has been exceptional this year, ranking as the 10th-best in the league.
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