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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

New York Jets vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Breece Hall Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-115/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New York Jets may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and call more carries) because they be starting backup QB Zach Wilson.
  • The New York Jets have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 1.6% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • A passing game script is suggested by the Jets being a -3-point underdog this week.
  • At a mere 27.04 seconds per snap, the Jets offense ranks as the 10th-fastest paced in the league (adjusted for context) this year.
  • In this week's game, Breece Hall is anticipated by the model to secure a spot in the 99th percentile when it comes to RBs with 6.0 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being called for in this game) generally lead to lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and higher ground volume.
  • Breece Hall's 20.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 26.5.
  • When talking about pass protection (and the impact it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Jets ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league this year.

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