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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins

Breece Hall Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-140/+110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jets may pass less in this week's contest (and call more carries) because they be starting backup QB Tim Boyle.

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Jets being a huge -9.5-point underdog this week.

The projections expect the New York Jets to be the 7th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.6% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

In this contest, Breece Hall is projected by the projection model to find himself in the 98th percentile among RBs with 5.8 targets.

With a stellar 3.1 adjusted catches per game (88th percentile) this year, Breece Hall rates as one of the top pass-catching RBs in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the New York Jets are predicted by our trusted projection set to run only 63.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The Jets have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 55.4 plays per game.

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being called for in this game) generally prompt worse passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and higher rush volume.

With a RATE1-RATE2 point decrease in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) from last year to this one, Breece Hall has been featured much less in his offense's passing game.

The Jets O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.

More Breece Hall Player Props

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