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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

New York Jets vs Houston Texans

Breece Hall Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-134/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -134.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the New York Jets to be the 8th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 62.5% pass rate.

Breece Hall's 63.8% Route Participation Rate this season conveys a substantial improvement in his air attack volume over last season's 47.8% mark.

The leading projections forecast Breece Hall to total 5.4 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 98th percentile among running backs.

When it comes to air yards, Breece Hall grades out in the towering 94th percentile among running backs this year, averaging an impressive 6.0 per game. (given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more remarkable than it appears since most RBs average negative air yards).

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the New York Jets ranks as the 4th-best in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Jets are forecasted by the model to run just 63.5 total plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.

Breece Hall's 73.8% Adjusted Completion% this season signifies a noteable drop-off in his pass-catching ability over last season's 85.1% rate.

This year, the tough Houston Texans defense has yielded a feeble 25.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing running backs: the 5th-fewest in football.

This year, the formidable Texans defense has conceded a paltry 77.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 3rd-best rate in the NFL.

When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Houston's group of LBs has been terrific this year, profiling as the 9th-best in the NFL.

More Breece Hall Player Props

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