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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets

Breece Hall Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jets rank as the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 68.3% pass rate.

The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Breece Hall has been used more as a potential target this year (62.2% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (47.8%).

The model projects Breece Hall to garner 5.3 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile among RBs.

Breece Hall has notched significantly more air yards this season (10.0 per game) than he did last season (-2.0 per game).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the New York Jets are expected by the predictive model to run just 62.4 total plays in this contest: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.

Breece Hall's 79.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this year signifies an impressive regression in his pass-catching ability over last year's 85.1% rate.

Breece Hall's 6.38 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season shows an impressive reduction in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last season's 7.5% mark.

The Steelers safeties grade out as the 5th-best unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

More Breece Hall Player Props

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