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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Breece Hall Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bills defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (36.8 per game) this year.
  • Breece Hall has been more involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (59.3% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (47.8%).
  • In this contest, Breece Hall is predicted by the predictive model to position himself in the 94th percentile when it comes to RBs with 4.4 targets.
  • Breece Hall has compiled significantly more air yards this season (8.0 per game) than he did last season (-2.0 per game).
  • The Jets offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the New York Jets as the 2nd-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 63.0% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to see just 123.6 total plays run: the fewest on the slate this week.
  • The fewest plays in the league have been called by the Jets this year (a lowly 46.2 per game on average).
  • The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • Breece Hall's 78.4% Adjusted Completion Rate this year signifies a meaningful diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last year's 85.2% mark.

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