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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Jets

Breece Hall Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Jets to pass on 61.1% of their plays: the 4th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Jets are forecasted by the projection model to call 65.3 offensive plays in this contest: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Opposing QBs have averaged 45.0 pass attempts per game against the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: most in the league.

The leading projections forecast Breece Hall to notch 5.9 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile when it comes to running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jets are a 4-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.

Breece Hall's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 85.2% to 78.5%.

Breece Hall's 6.44 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season marks a substantial decline in his effectiveness in the open field over last season's 7.5% mark.

The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has exhibited good efficiency versus running backs since the start of last season, surrendering 5.06 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-fewest in football.

As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Minnesota's collection of LBs has been terrific this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.

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