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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Tennessee Titans vs New York Jets

Breece Hall Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the New York Jets as the 10th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 59.7% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

New York's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially too low (and rushing stats inflated) on account of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the league. We should be able to expect some correction with better weather in this game.

The leading projections forecast Breece Hall to garner 5.7 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 98th percentile among running backs.

Breece Hall has been a key part of his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 16.9% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 98th percentile when it comes to running backs.

With an exceptional 33.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (97th percentile) last year, Breece Hall rates among the top pass-catching running backs in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is implied by the Jets being a 4-point favorite this week.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Breece Hall has totaled a meager -2.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 16th percentile when it comes to running backs.

The New York O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.

The Tennessee Titans defense has yielded the 4th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 25.0) versus running backs since the start of last season.

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