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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets

Breece Hall Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -129.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -10-point disadvantage, the Jets are massive underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of a focus on throwing than their normal game plan.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jets to pass on 62.9% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.

The Buffalo Bills defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (36.0 per game) this year.

Breece Hall's 62.0% Route Participation Rate this year shows a remarkable improvement in his pass game workload over last year's 47.8% rate.

Our trusted projections expect Breece Hall to earn 4.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile among running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have just 127.0 total plays called: the fewest among all games this week.

The Jets have called the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 55.9 plays per game.

The weatherman calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

Breece Hall's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 85.1% to 77.7%.

This year, the daunting Bills defense has conceded a meager 78.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the 5th-best rate in football.

More Breece Hall Player Props

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