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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Breece Hall Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the New York Jets to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 63.6% pass rate.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the league.
  • Our trusted projections expect Breece Hall to accrue 3.8 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 87th percentile among RBs.
  • In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the New York Jets profiles as the 5th-best in the league this year.
  • This year, the anemic Jaguars defense has been torched for a massive 48.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing running backs: the most in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Jets are favored in this game, suggesting more of a focus on running than their typical game plan.
  • The 10th-fewest plays in football have been called by the New York Jets this year (a lowly 56.1 per game on average).
  • The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

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