Breece Hall Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Breece Hall

NFL · Player Props

Breece Hall

RB · New York Jets

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New York Jets · Week 15, 2024

Updated Dec 15, 2024 8:47 PM EST

Analysis

Breece Hall Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the New York Jets to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 63.6% pass rate.
Opposing teams have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the league.
Our trusted projections expect Breece Hall to accrue 3.8 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 87th percentile among RBs.
In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the New York Jets profiles as the 5th-best in the league this year.
This year, the anemic Jaguars defense has been torched for a massive 48.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing running backs: the most in the league.

Favors Under

With a 3-point advantage, the Jets are favored in this game, suggesting more of a focus on running than their typical game plan.
The 10th-fewest plays in football have been called by the New York Jets this year (a lowly 56.1 per game on average).
The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

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