Breece Hall Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Breece Hall

NFL · Player Props

Breece Hall

RB · New York Jets

Receiving Yards

New York Jets vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 7, 2023 12:41 AM UTC

Analysis

Breece Hall Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New York Jets will be forced to start backup quarterback Zach Wilson in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The Jets are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 130.6 total plays run: the 4th-most among all games this week.
Opposing offenses have averaged 39.7 pass attempts per game versus the Chargers defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
The projections expect Breece Hall to earn 5.5 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Jets to pass on 58.8% of their chances: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
The Jets have called the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 52.9 plays per game.
After averaging 23.0 air yards per game last year, Breece Hall has been a disappointment this year, now sitting at 0.0 per game.
Breece Hall's 18.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 26.5.
The New York O-line ranks as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all air attack statistics across the board.

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