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Breece Hall Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-135/+105).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The New York Jets will be forced to start backup quarterback Zach Wilson in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.The Jets are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 130.6 total plays run: the 4th-most among all games this week.Opposing offenses have averaged 39.7 pass attempts per game versus the Chargers defense this year: 4th-most in the league.The projections expect Breece Hall to earn 5.5 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile among running backs.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Jets to pass on 58.8% of their chances: the lowest rate among all teams this week.The Jets have called the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 52.9 plays per game.After averaging 23.0 air yards per game last year, Breece Hall has been a disappointment this year, now sitting at 0.0 per game.Breece Hall's 18.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 26.5.The New York O-line ranks as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all air attack statistics across the board.
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