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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New York Jets vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Breece Hall Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New York Jets may pass less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) since they be rolling with backup QB Zach Wilson.
  • The Jets are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in football (41.0 per game) this year.
  • In this week's game, Breece Hall is expected by the projection model to finish in the 87th percentile among RBs with 3.7 targets.
  • Breece Hall's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 63.9% to 71.7%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jets have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 1.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • Right now, the 5th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the New York Jets.
  • Breece Hall's 8.5% Target% this season illustrates a a significant reduction in his passing attack usage over last season's 13.5% mark.
  • After totaling 23.0 air yards per game last year, Breece Hall has seen a big downtick this year, now sitting at -1.0 per game.
  • Breece Hall's 11.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season shows a a material drop-off in his receiving prowess over last season's 27.0 figure.

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