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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Breece Hall Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jets may throw the ball less in this contest (and call more carries) as a result of being be forced to start backup quarterback Trevor Siemian.
  • This week's line implies an extreme throwing game script for the Jets, who are huge -7-point underdogs.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New York Jets to pass on 61.3% of their plays: the 7th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Jets are predicted by the projection model to call 66.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 2nd-highest number among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects Breece Hall to garner 7.5 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 99th percentile among running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing offenses teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Browns, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 32.3 per game) this year.
  • Breece Hall has compiled quite a few less air yards this season (-2.0 per game) than he did last season (23.0 per game).
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Jets profiles as the 2nd-worst in football this year.
  • Breece Hall profiles as one of the weakest RBs in the league at picking up extra yardage in the passing game, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 2nd percentile.
  • This year, the strong Browns defense has allowed a meager 75.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the 5th-smallest rate in the NFL.

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