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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

New York Jets vs Washington Commanders

Breece Hall Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (+112/-148).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ +112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 9th-most pass-focused team in the NFL (63.4% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Jets.

At a mere 27.18 seconds per play, the New York Jets offense profiles as the 10th-fastest paced in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may go down.

The projections expect Breece Hall to garner 6.0 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 99th percentile among RBs.

Breece Hall checks in as one of the best RB receiving threats this year, averaging an excellent 30.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 95th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Jets being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.

Breece Hall has totaled quite a few less air yards this year (-3.0 per game) than he did last year (23.0 per game).

Breece Hall's 21.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 26.5.

The Jets O-line profiles as the 2nd-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

With a lackluster 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (2nd percentile) this year, Breece Hall rates among the top RB receiving threats in football in space.

More Breece Hall Player Props

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