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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets

Breece Hall Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New York Jets may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) because they be forced to start backup quarterback Zach Wilson.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Jets to pass on 60.0% of their plays: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.

Our trusted projections expect Breece Hall to accrue 4.9 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 91st percentile when it comes to running backs.

Breece Hall's 81.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this year conveys a significant gain in his receiving talent over last year's 63.9% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Jets to call the 4th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The Jets have run the 9th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 55.4 plays per game.

Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Las Vegas Raiders, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in football (just 33.8 per game) this year.

Breece Hall has accrued far fewer air yards this season (-2.0 per game) than he did last season (23.0 per game).

With a RATE1-RATE2 point decline in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) from last season to this one, Breece Hall has been utilized much less in his team's air attack.

More Breece Hall Player Props

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