Breece Hall Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

Breece Hall

RB · New York Jets

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 5:05 PM UTC

Analysis

Breece Hall Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jets are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
The Jets rank as the 8th-most pass-centric team in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 67.9% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 138.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has conceded the 8th-most receiving yards per game in the league (40.0) vs. RBs since the start of last season.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has displayed weak efficiency versus running backs since the start of last season, allowing 6.63 yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

Opposing QBs have averaged 33.0 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 10th-least in the NFL.
The New York Jets offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has yielded the 7th-lowest Completion% in football (76.2%) to RBs since the start of last season (76.2%).
The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers grade out as the 6th-best group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to rushing the passer.
The New York Jets have been faced with a stacked the box on just 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.