Breece Hall Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

Breece Hall

RB · New York Jets

Receiving TD

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 5:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Breece Hall Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+750/-2000).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jets are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 138.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Jets offensive line has given their QB 2.69 seconds before the pass (5th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all air attack metrics across the board.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The New York Jets have risked going for it on 4th down 22.0% of the time since the start of last season (10th-most in the NFL), which usually means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

Favors Under

Opposing QBs have averaged 33.0 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 10th-least in the NFL.
The New York Jets offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has yielded the 7th-lowest Completion% in football (76.2%) to RBs since the start of last season (76.2%).
The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has conceded the 2nd-least passing touchdowns in the league to RBs: 0.10 per game since the start of last season.
The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers grade out as the 6th-best group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to rushing the passer.