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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Carries
Player Prop Week 6

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Breece Hall Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 2nd-least run-centric team in the NFL (34.1% adjusted for context) according to the model is the New York Jets.
  • The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • The projections expect Breece Hall to notch 16.7 carries in this game, on balance, placing him in the 89th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • As it relates to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Buffalo's group of safeties has been terrible this year, projecting as the worst in the league. in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to see just 123.6 total plays run: the fewest on the slate this week.
  • The fewest plays in the league have been called by the Jets this year (a lowly 46.2 per game on average).
  • Breece Hall's 73.1% snap rate this season indicates a substantial boost in his offensive usage over last season's 55.3% figure.

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