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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Carries
Player Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets

Breece Hall Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weatherman calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

The model projects Breece Hall to total 15.3 rush attempts in this game, on balance, putting him in the 77th percentile when it comes to running backs.

The Buffalo Bills defensive tackles rank as the 7th-worst collection of DTs in the league this year with their run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a -10-point disadvantage, the Jets are massive underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of a focus on throwing than their normal game plan.

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Jets to run on 37.1% of their downs: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have just 127.0 total plays called: the fewest among all games this week.

The Jets have called the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 55.9 plays per game.

Breece Hall has been a more important option in his team's offense this season, staying on the field for 74.0% of snaps compared to just 55.3% last season.

More Breece Hall Player Props

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