Breece Hall Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Breece Hall

NFL · Player Props

Breece Hall

RB · New York Jets

Carries

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Breece Hall Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-109/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -131 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect Breece Hall to notch 12.6 rush attempts in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 77th percentile among running backs.
Breece Hall has garnered 54.6% of his offense's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 87th percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Jets are enormous underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach.
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New York Jets to run on 39.1% of their downs: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the New York Jets are anticipated by the predictive model to call only 63.3 total plays in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The New York Jets have called the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 55.9 plays per game.
When it comes to executing run-blocking assignments (and the ramifications it has on all ground game statistics), the O-line of the Jets profiles as the worst in the league last year.

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