Breece Hall Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Breece Hall

NFL · Player Props

Breece Hall

RB · New York Jets

Carries

New York Jets vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Breece Hall Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 131.6 plays on offense called: the 4th-most out of all the games this week.
The predictive model expects Breece Hall to earn 13.9 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 76th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Breece Hall has garnered 56.5% of his team's carries this year, putting him in the 89th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Favors Under

The Jets may pass less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) because they be forced to utilize backup QB Tim Boyle.
The Jets feature a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to lean 1.8% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jets to run on 40.2% of their plays: the 7th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The 6th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Jets this year (a mere 54.9 per game on average).
The New York offensive line profiles as the worst in the league last year in run-blocking.

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