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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Carries
Player Prop Week 13

New York Jets vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Breece Hall Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 131.6 plays on offense called: the 4th-most out of all the games this week.
  • The predictive model expects Breece Hall to earn 13.9 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 76th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Breece Hall has garnered 56.5% of his team's carries this year, putting him in the 89th percentile when it comes to running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jets may pass less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) because they be forced to utilize backup QB Tim Boyle.
  • The Jets feature a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to lean 1.8% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jets to run on 40.2% of their plays: the 7th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The 6th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Jets this year (a mere 54.9 per game on average).
  • The New York offensive line profiles as the worst in the league last year in run-blocking.

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