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Braxton Berrios

Braxton Berrios Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Braxton Berrios Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-158/+124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +135 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +124.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Braxton Berrios's 56.3% Route% this year signifies a remarkable growth in his pass attack volume over last year's 27.9% mark.
  • Braxton Berrios's 2.2 adjusted catches per game this season indicates a meaningful growth in his pass-catching skills over last season's 1.2 rate.
  • Braxton Berrios's 75.4% Adjusted Catch% this season marks a significant growth in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 58.9% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7-point advantage, the Dolphins are a massive favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of a reliance on running than their normal approach.
  • The projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 11th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 56.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see only 127.5 offensive plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Dolphins have called the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 55.6 plays per game.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 23-mph being projected in this game) generally mean worse passing efficiency, lower air volume, and increased run volume.

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