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Braxton Berrios

Braxton Berrios Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Los Angeles Chargers vs Miami Dolphins

Braxton Berrios Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 5th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 62.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Dolphins to call the 8th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Miami Dolphins have called the 4th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 54.1 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense since the start of last season: 7th-least in the league.

Braxton Berrios's 12.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the worst in football: 20th percentile for wide receivers.

The Miami Dolphins offensive line ranks as the 8th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all pass game stats across the board.

More Braxton Berrios Player Props

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