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Braxton Berrios

Braxton Berrios Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills

Braxton Berrios Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Miami Dolphins to pass on 62.3% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.

Miami's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially decreased (and running stats too high) as a result of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We figure to be able to expect some regression with better weather this week.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may slide.

With an excellent 75.3% Adjusted Completion% (86th percentile) since the start of last season, Braxton Berrios has been as one of the most reliable receivers in the league when it comes to WRs.

The Bills pass defense has conceded the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (69.6%) to wide receivers since the start of last season (69.6%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Dolphins to run the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.7 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The 6th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Miami Dolphins since the start of last season (a lowly 55.7 per game on average).

The Buffalo Bills pass defense has been quite strong when opposing WRs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 3.24 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the fewest in football.

More Braxton Berrios Player Props

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