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Braxton Berrios

Braxton Berrios Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Braxton Berrios Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins as the 6th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 64.2% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.9 pass attempts per game against the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in the league.
  • Braxton Berrios has been among the top wideouts in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a stellar 6.43 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 85th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling just 54.2 plays per game.
  • Braxton Berrios has run a route on 30.1% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking in the 24th percentile among wide receivers.
  • The Miami Dolphins offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • Braxton Berrios has been among the bottom wide receivers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 13.0 yards per game while grading out in the 13th percentile among WRs.
  • The New England Patriots pass defense has conceded the 6th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (63%) to wide receivers since the start of last season (63.0%).

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