Braxton Berrios Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Braxton Berrios

NFL · Player Props

Braxton Berrios

WR · Miami Dolphins

Receiving Yards

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 6:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Braxton Berrios Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Braxton Berrios's 56.3% Route% this year signifies a remarkable growth in his pass attack volume over last year's 27.9% mark.
Braxton Berrios has accrued many more air yards this year (18.0 per game) than he did last year (13.0 per game).
Braxton Berrios's 22.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season conveys a significant boost in his receiving proficiency over last season's 11.0 figure.
Braxton Berrios's 75.4% Adjusted Catch% this season marks a significant growth in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 58.9% figure.
Braxton Berrios's pass-catching efficiency has improved this year, totaling 7.52 adjusted yards-per-target vs a mere 5.46 figure last year.

Favors Under

With a 7-point advantage, the Dolphins are a massive favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of a reliance on running than their normal approach.
The projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 11th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 56.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see only 127.5 offensive plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
The Dolphins have called the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 55.6 plays per game.
Windy weather conditions (like the 23-mph being projected in this game) generally mean worse passing efficiency, lower air volume, and increased run volume.

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