Braxton Berrios Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Braxton Berrios

NFL · Player Props

Braxton Berrios

WR · New York Jets

Receiving Yards

New York Jets vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 23, 2022 1:16 AM EST

Analysis

Braxton Berrios Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to call the 10th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
Braxton Berrios's skills in picking up extra yardage have improved this year, totaling 6.94 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a measly 4.57 mark last year.
The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers project as the 4th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
The New York Jets O-line has allowed their quarterback 2.69 seconds before the pass (5th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 9th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 52.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
Braxton Berrios has notched a mere 14.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 23rd percentile among wide receivers.
Braxton Berrios's 13.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 21.6.
The New York Jets O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

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