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Brandon Powell
NFL · Player Props
Brandon Powell
WR · Minnesota Vikings
Receptions
Atlanta Falcons vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 9, 2023 Updated Nov 5, 2023 8:21 PM UTC
NFL Props Brandon Powell Receptions

Brandon Powell Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+150/-180).

Favors Over
  • At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs this week, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their usual game plan.
  • The model projects the Vikings to be the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Vikings are forecasted by the projection model to call 65.5 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
  • Brandon Powell's 40.5% Route Participation% this season represents a significant growth in his air attack utilization over last season's 23.3% mark.
Favors Under
  • Brandon Powell's receiving reliability have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 75.9% to 72.2%.
  • This year, the tough Falcons defense has conceded a mere 62.5% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 8th-best rate in the league.
  • As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Atlanta's collection of safeties has been tremendous this year, profiling as the 9th-best in the NFL.
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