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Brandon Powell

Brandon Powell Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints

Brandon Powell Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Vikings will be rolling with backup QB Joshua Dobbs in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 63.1% of their plays: the 4th-highest clip on the slate this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to see 132.2 plays on offense called: the highest number among all games this week.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.

Our trusted projections expect Brandon Powell to be much more involved in his team's air attack in this contest (13.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (8.5% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Brandon Powell's possession skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 75.9% to 72.3%.

The New Orleans Saints pass defense has given up the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (59.6%) vs. WRs this year (59.6%).

The New Orleans Saints cornerbacks project as the 6th-best unit in football this year in covering receivers.

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