Brandon Powell Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Brandon Powell

NFL · Player Props

Brandon Powell

WR · Minnesota Vikings

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Brandon Powell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Vikings may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more rushes) because they be rolling with backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs.
The model projects the Vikings as the 7th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Brandon Powell's 49.0% Route% this year conveys a material boost in his pass attack volume over last year's 23.3% rate.
Brandon Powell has posted significantly more air yards this season (26.0 per game) than he did last season (3.0 per game).
When it comes to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Vikings profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year.

Favors Under

Opposing teams teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Broncos, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in football (just 33.8 per game) this year.
Brandon Powell's 2.26 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year shows a material reduction in his effectiveness in space over last year's 7.2% rate.

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