Brandon Johnson Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Brandon Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Brandon Johnson

WR · Denver Broncos

Receiving TD

Denver Broncos vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Brandon Johnson Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+407/-880).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +435 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +407.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 6th-most in football.
The Arizona Cardinals cornerbacks profile as the 7th-worst collection of CBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Denver Broncos offensive line has allowed their QB 2.68 seconds before the pass (6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The Arizona Cardinals defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season.
The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on just 3.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in football). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.

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