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Brandon Johnson

Brandon Johnson Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 15

Denver Broncos vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Brandon Johnson Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+407/-880).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +435 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +407.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 6th-most in football.
  • The Arizona Cardinals cornerbacks profile as the 7th-worst collection of CBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Denver Broncos offensive line has allowed their QB 2.68 seconds before the pass (6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Arizona Cardinals defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season.
  • The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on just 3.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in football). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.

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