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Brandon Bolden

Brandon Bolden Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Brandon Bolden Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Raiders are a massive 7-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have called the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 63.5 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 45.8 pass attempts per game against the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: most in football.
  • Brandon Bolden has earned a colossal 1.0% of his offense's air yards this year: 79th percentile among running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the least total plays on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Brandon Bolden's 8.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 15.4.
  • Brandon Bolden's pass-catching effectiveness has diminished this year, compiling a measly 4.71 yards-per-target vs a 8.85 mark last year.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers grade out as the 9th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the best in the NFL since the start of last season.

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