Brandon Bolden Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Brandon Bolden

NFL · Player Props

Brandon Bolden

RB · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 11, 2022 3:00 AM UTC

Analysis

Brandon Bolden Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Raiders are a massive 7-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
The Las Vegas Raiders have called the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 63.5 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have averaged 45.8 pass attempts per game against the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: most in football.
Brandon Bolden has earned a colossal 1.0% of his offense's air yards this year: 79th percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the least total plays on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Brandon Bolden's 8.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 15.4.
Brandon Bolden's pass-catching effectiveness has diminished this year, compiling a measly 4.71 yards-per-target vs a 8.85 mark last year.
The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers grade out as the 9th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
The Kansas City Chiefs defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the best in the NFL since the start of last season.

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