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Brandon Aiyuk
NFL · Player Props
Brandon Aiyuk
WR · San Francisco 49ers
Receptions
Minnesota Vikings vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 7, 2023 Updated Oct 24, 2023 12:01 AM EST
NFL Props Brandon Aiyuk Receptions

Brandon Aiyuk Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+118/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -139 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +118.

Favors Over
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • In this game, Brandon Aiyuk is anticipated by the projection model to place in the 94th percentile when it comes to WRs with 9.3 targets.
  • Brandon Aiyuk's 82.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 58.8.
  • Brandon Aiyuk grades out as one of the top WRs in the NFL this year, averaging a stellar 5.1 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 87th percentile.
  • The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has been torched for the highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (77.6%) vs. WRs this year (77.6%).
Favors Under
  • This week's line implies a running game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • The predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to be the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the 49ers are predicted by our trusted projection set to run only 62.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 55.2 plays per game.
  • The San Francisco O-line profiles as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
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