Brandon Aiyuk Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Brandon Aiyuk

NFL · Player Props

Brandon Aiyuk

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Receptions

Cleveland Browns vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 4:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Brandon Aiyuk Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-155/+125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brandon Aiyuk has run a route on 93.4% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 94th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
The leading projections forecast Brandon Aiyuk to earn 7.3 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile among wideouts.
With a terrific 5.3 adjusted catches per game (89th percentile) this year, Brandon Aiyuk places among the leading WRs in the game in football.
Brandon Aiyuk's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 68.9% to 81.9%.

Favors Under

A running game script is implied by the 49ers being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 52.6% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers offense to be the most sluggish paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 31.72 seconds per snap.
Opposing offenses have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game against the Browns defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
The the San Francisco 49ers offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

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