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Brandon Aiyuk

Brandon Aiyuk Receptions
Player Prop Week 20

San Francisco 49ers vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Brandon Aiyuk Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect this game to see the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 126.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect Brandon Aiyuk to accrue 7.3 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • Brandon Aiyuk's 65.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in football: 91st percentile for wideouts.
  • With a stellar 4.7 adjusted receptions per game (87th percentile) this year, Brandon Aiyuk ranks as one of the best wide receivers in the league in the NFL.
  • Brandon Aiyuk's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 68.9% to 74.7%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 10-point advantage, the 49ers are a heavy favorite in this week's contest, indicating much more of a reliance on rushing than their typical game plan.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the 49ers to pass on 52.4% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The lowest number of plays in football have been run by the San Francisco 49ers this year (only 53.5 per game on average).
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 4th-fewest in the NFL.
  • The San Francisco 49ers offensive line grades out as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

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