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Brandon Aiyuk

Brandon Aiyuk Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Brandon Aiyuk Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The leading projections forecast Brandon Aiyuk to accrue 7.9 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • Brandon Aiyuk's 72.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 58.8.
  • With a terrific 4.7 adjusted catches per game (87th percentile) this year, Brandon Aiyuk rates among the leading wide receivers in the league in the league.
  • Brandon Aiyuk's possession skills have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 68.9% to 73.1%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the 49ers being a heavy 11.5-point favorite in this game.
  • The projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to be the 7th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 54.9% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect the 49ers to call the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have run the fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 53.0 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 32.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cardinals defense this year: 4th-fewest in the league.

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