Brandon Aiyuk Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Brandon Aiyuk

NFL · Player Props

Brandon Aiyuk

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Receptions

Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Brandon Aiyuk Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
The leading projections forecast Brandon Aiyuk to accrue 7.9 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile when it comes to WRs.
Brandon Aiyuk's 72.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 58.8.
With a terrific 4.7 adjusted catches per game (87th percentile) this year, Brandon Aiyuk rates among the leading wide receivers in the league in the league.
Brandon Aiyuk's possession skills have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 68.9% to 73.1%.

Favors Under

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the 49ers being a heavy 11.5-point favorite in this game.
The projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to be the 7th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 54.9% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the 49ers to call the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have run the fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 53.0 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 32.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cardinals defense this year: 4th-fewest in the league.

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