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Brandon Aiyuk

Brandon Aiyuk Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Philadelphia Eagles vs San Francisco 49ers

Brandon Aiyuk Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Eagles defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (43.0 per game) this year.

In this week's contest, Brandon Aiyuk is forecasted by the model to land in the 82nd percentile among wideouts with 7.4 targets.

Brandon Aiyuk's 67.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 58.8.

With an excellent 4.6 adjusted receptions per game (83rd percentile) this year, Brandon Aiyuk places as one of the best pass-catching WRs in football.

Brandon Aiyuk's 72.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this year signifies a remarkable gain in his receiving skills over last year's 68.9% rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3-point advantage, the 49ers are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on running than their usual approach.

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 56.1% of their downs: the 7th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the 49ers are projected by the projection model to call just 62.0 total plays in this contest: the 2nd-fewest on the slate this week.

The 49ers have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 53.9 plays per game.

In regards to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the 49ers ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year.

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