Brandon Aiyuk Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Brandon Aiyuk

NFL · Player Props

Brandon Aiyuk

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Receptions

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 11:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Brandon Aiyuk Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Brandon Aiyuk to accumulate 9.2 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile among wide receivers.
THE BLITZ projects Brandon Aiyuk to be a more integral piece of his team's air attack this week (27.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (22.0% in games he has played).
The San Francisco 49ers O-line grades out as the 6th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Brandon Aiyuk's play as a receiver has been refined this year, totaling 4.6 yards per game vs just 2.7 last year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 10th-least pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.2% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run on the slate this week at 122.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have called the 10th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 57.1 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 4th-least in the NFL.
The Los Angeles Rams defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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