Brandon Aiyuk Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+165/-225).
Key Factors
Favors Over
THE BLITZ projects the 49ers to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 69.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 34.9 pass attempts per game against the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 9th-most in football.
Brandon Aiyuk's 58.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 42.9.
Brandon Aiyuk's pass-catching performance gotten a boost this year, compiling 4.5 yards per game compared to a measly 3.1 last year.
Brandon Aiyuk's possession skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% increasing from 64.8% to 68.9%.
Favors Under
The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 52.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
The Dallas Cowboys linebackers project as the 6th-best group of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Dallas Cowboys defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 5th-quickest in the league since the start of last season.