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Brandon Aiyuk

Brandon Aiyuk Receptions
Player Prop Week 20

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Brandon Aiyuk Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+165/-225).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the 49ers to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 69.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 34.9 pass attempts per game against the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 9th-most in football.
  • Brandon Aiyuk's 58.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 42.9.
  • Brandon Aiyuk's pass-catching performance gotten a boost this year, compiling 4.5 yards per game compared to a measly 3.1 last year.
  • Brandon Aiyuk's possession skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% increasing from 64.8% to 68.9%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 52.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • The Dallas Cowboys linebackers project as the 6th-best group of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Dallas Cowboys defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 5th-quickest in the league since the start of last season.

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