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Brandon Aiyuk Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-140/+110).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.THE BLITZ projects Brandon Aiyuk to total 7.3 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 79th percentile among wide receivers.Brandon Aiyuk's 55.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 42.9.Brandon Aiyuk's pass-catching performance improved this year, accumulating 4.3 yards per game vs a mere 3.1 last year.Brandon Aiyuk's possession skills have been refined this season, with his Completion% rising from 64.8% to 67.8%.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The 49ers are a 6-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 8th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.The San Francisco 49ers have gone no-huddle on a lowly 3.4% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (7th-least in football). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.The San Francisco 49ers have risked going for it on 4th down a lowly 15.8% of the time since the start of last season (9th-least in the league), which usually means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.
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