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Brandon Aiyuk

Brandon Aiyuk Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Minnesota Vikings vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Brandon Aiyuk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 73.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 65.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 73.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • In this game, Brandon Aiyuk is anticipated by the projection model to place in the 94th percentile when it comes to WRs with 9.3 targets.
  • Brandon Aiyuk has posted significantly more air yards this season (109.0 per game) than he did last season (69.0 per game).
  • Brandon Aiyuk's 82.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 58.8.
  • Brandon Aiyuk has compiled substantially more adjusted receiving yards per game (91.0) this year than he did last year (63.0).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line implies a running game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • The predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to be the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the 49ers are predicted by our trusted projection set to run only 62.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 55.2 plays per game.
  • The San Francisco O-line profiles as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

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