Brandon Aiyuk Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Brandon Aiyuk

NFL · Player Props

Brandon Aiyuk

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 9, 2023 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Brandon Aiyuk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 60.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 64.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a top-tier 93.7% Route% (96th percentile) since the start of last season, Brandon Aiyuk ranks as one of the wideouts with the biggest workloads in the league.
In this week's contest, Brandon Aiyuk is projected by our trusted projection set to rank in the 89th percentile among wideouts with 7.8 targets.
Brandon Aiyuk has accumulated a monstrous 75.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 84th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
With an outstanding 69.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (91st percentile) since the start of last season, Brandon Aiyuk stands as one of the leading WRs in the NFL in the league.
Brandon Aiyuk's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 68.9% to 86.0%.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the 49ers to pass on 54.5% of their downs: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
The projections expect the San Francisco 49ers offense as the slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 31.28 seconds per snap.
Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being called for in this game) generally cause worse passing efficiency, lower air volume, and higher run volume.
Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Dallas Cowboys, averaging the fewest attempts in football (a measly 27.5 per game) this year.

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