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Brandon Aiyuk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-160/+120).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 69.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 69.5 @ -160.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Commanders defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (38.1 per game) this year.The predictive model expects Brandon Aiyuk to accumulate 7.0 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 81st percentile among wideouts.After accumulating 69.0 air yards per game last year, Brandon Aiyuk has seen marked improvement this year, now pacing 95.0 per game.Brandon Aiyuk's 66.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 58.8.Brandon Aiyuk has accumulated quite a few more adjusted receiving yards per game (82.0) this season than he did last season (63.0).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With a 14-point advantage, the 49ers are heavily favored in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their typical approach.Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the 49ers to pass on 49.6% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest clip among all teams this week.The predictive model expects the 49ers to call the 4th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.The lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the 49ers this year (a measly 53.1 per game on average).In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the importance it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the 49ers grades out as the 4th-worst in football this year.
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